Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
MOD
3 - 1
CAT
48%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
CAT
2 - 0
REG
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
CAT
4 - 1
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 0
CAT
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAT
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
VER
2 - 0
MES
53%
28%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
USF
33%
32%
35%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
32%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |