Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
PAD
0 - 1
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
CAT
0 - 0
SAM
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
CAT
2 - 1
LIV
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
VER
2 - 0
CAT
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
ARZ
61%
23%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
MES
1 - 3
SAM
28%
30%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
USA
0 - 0
MES
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
SAV
0 - 0
MES
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
MES
1 - 1
PIS
58%
25%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |