Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAT
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAT
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 0
TOR
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
SAM
4 - 1
CAT
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
CAT
0 - 1
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
MES
0 - 2
LAZ
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 0
MES
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
MES
1 - 1
BAR
50%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 0
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
MES
0 - 0
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |