Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PAD
3 - 1
CAT
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAT
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CAT
3 - 1
FIO
21%
24%
55%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 0
CAT
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MES
4 - 2
ASL
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
REG
3 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |