Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
ACP
1 - 0
CAT
39%
25%
35%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
VNZ
1 - 0
CAT
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 2
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
CAT
0 - 0
TRI
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
VNZ
3 - 2
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
MES
3 - 0
CAG
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 0
MES
62%
21%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |