Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 0
ATP
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
CAT
4 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
SAL
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
MOD
0 - 0
MES
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MES
0 - 0
ATP
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MES
1 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |