Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAT
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
SAL
0 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
VER
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAT
71%
17%
13%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
SIR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 1
MES
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
TRE
1 - 0
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
MES
3 - 0
ATP
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |