Catania vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 0
CAT
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
CAT
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 0
TRE
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
CAT
3 - 1
VNZ
54%
21%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
REG
2 - 0
CAT
64%
18%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1951 |
MES
0 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIC
1 - 0
MES
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 3
MES
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
VNZ
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MES
0 - 0
PIS
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |