Catania vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOD
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 1
CAT
29%
26%
44%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 2
ANC
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
JUS
0 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 3
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAS
21%
26%
53%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |