Catania vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAT
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
SAL
0 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
VER
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 0
ASL
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 1
MES
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 0
ASL
61%
21%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 1
ASS
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |