Catania vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
TER
3 - 1
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CAT
2 - 0
VNZ
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAT
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
COS
3 - 1
CAT
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIC
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
COS
0 - 2
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 2
VIC
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2003 |
SIE
2 - 0
LIV
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |