Catania vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
20.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
28.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAT
43%
31%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
CAT
2 - 0
NOV
47%
31%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 0
SOR
66%
24%
10%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 0
CAT
57%
27%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
PRG
2 - 0
LIV
56%
28%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 1
LAZ
24%
34%
42%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
PAL
33%
35%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
CES
2 - 0
LIV
53%
29%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |