Catania vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
19.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
28.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
PIS
2 - 0
CAT
54%
28%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAT
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
32%
32%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
CES
0 - 1
CAT
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 1
REG
29%
31%
40%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
PIA
1 - 1
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAN
37%
33%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
TAR
1 - 0
LIV
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |