Catania vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
VER
2 - 0
CAT
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAT
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAL
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
POT
1 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
PAL
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
PIS
1 - 0
LIV
44%
30%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIV
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |