Catania vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAT
63%
24%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 1
USC
50%
30%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAV
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 2
UDI
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
50%
29%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
42%
32%
26%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAM
57%
27%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
REG
1 - 1
LEC
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |