Catania vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
14%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
19.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
PAL
2 - 0
CAT
52%
28%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
55%
27%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 0
PIS
53%
28%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
CES
2 - 0
CAT
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 0
VER
56%
28%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
59%
27%
15%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
USF
1 - 0
LEC
64%
24%
12%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
VER
56%
29%
15%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
PIS
2 - 0
LEC
55%
30%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
LEC
0 - 0
LAZ
34%
32%
34%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |