Catania vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
UDI
2 - 2
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 1
JUV
20%
26%
53%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
INT
2 - 0
CAT
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAT
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
70%
20%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
40%
26%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 1
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 2
ACM
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PES
0 - 3
LAZ
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |