Catania vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
ACM
6 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 2
TOR
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
SPA
3 - 0
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 0
ATL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
CAT
3 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1966 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
INT
4 - 1
LAZ
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SAM
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
NAP
2 - 0
LAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAG
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |