Catania vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
CAT
0 - 1
ACM
18%
24%
59%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAT
59%
22%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
JUV
0 - 3
LAZ
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
LAZ
0 - 0
MES
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 0
LAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |