Catania vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAT
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASC
40%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 0
NOC
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
GIU
0 - 0
CAT
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CAT
0 - 0
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
LAQ
3 - 2
VIT
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 1
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LAQ
1 - 0
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SAS
3 - 1
LAQ
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LAQ
1 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |