Catania vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
ARZ
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAT
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAT
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 2
POT
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FCC
3 - 1
VER
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
VER
1 - 1
USA
51%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
VER
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 0
VER
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |