Catania vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAT
71%
17%
13%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAT
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIC
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CAT
1 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
VER
1 - 3
ASS
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 2
VER
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
VER
1 - 1
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
VER
2 - 1
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
6 - 0
VER
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |