Catania vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UDI
2 - 1
CAT
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAT
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 3
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 2
NAP
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
5 - 3
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 2
UDI
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |