Catania vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
3 - 2
LEC
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAT
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CES
1 - 1
CAT
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 2
ACM
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 3
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 1
GEN
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACM
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |