Catania vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAT
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CAT
2 - 0
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
16%
24%
60%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 3
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ASC
3 - 2
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 1
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAP
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
GEN
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |