Catania vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 2
SIC
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
JUS
0 - 0
CAT
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAT
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 1
SIR
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
CAT
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FON
3 - 1
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TER
3 - 0
FON
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
FON
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FON
2 - 1
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
FON
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |