Catania vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CAT
1 - 3
VIC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
NAP
3 - 0
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
BRE
4 - 1
CAT
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
42%
22%
37%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 0
BOL
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
FIO
3 - 1
CRV
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CAG
0 - 1
FIO
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
CRV
0 - 4
FIO
49%
23%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
BRE
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |