Catania vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAT
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
INT
4 - 1
CAT
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 3
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 3
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
CAG
0 - 1
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 1
MES
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |