Catania vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 0
CAT
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
CAT
2 - 0
SAM
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
VIC
3 - 0
CAT
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAT
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FIO
5 - 2
UDI
76%
14%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
INT
4 - 1
FIO
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 1
VIC
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
70%
17%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |