Catania vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 3
ASC
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUS
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAT
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FIA
2 - 2
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LOD
2 - 1
FIA
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
FIA
0 - 2
ARZ
56%
26%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
JUS
2 - 1
FIA
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
FIA
1 - 1
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |