Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Catania vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
CAT
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAT
6 - 1
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAT
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 2
TRA
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AKR
1 - 3
CAT
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
CAT
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
USA
1 - 3
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FER
2 - 3
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
ABN
0 - 1
FER
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
FER
3 - 1
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |