Catania vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SSC
0 - 1
CAT
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 1
TUR
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
CAT
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CAT
3 - 2
PIC
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RPO
1 - 0
CAT
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 1
RPO
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
CRO
15%
22%
64%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 1
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
BRI
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAT
0 - 0
CRO
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |