Catania vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 0
ARZ
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 1
ARZ
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 4
CRO
16%
24%
61%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
56%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |