Catania vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
NAP
5 - 2
CAT
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
LIV
3 - 0
CAT
41%
30%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
CAT
4 - 1
POT
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 1
NAP
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 0
FCC
44%
30%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
FCC
2 - 1
POT
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |