Catania vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 2
ACM
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 0
NAP
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FIO
3 - 1
CAT
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 2
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
EMP
2 - 0
CES
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 3
EMP
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
EMP
2 - 0
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 0
EMP
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
EMP
1 - 1
TRI
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |