Catania vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 1
SIE
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 0
CAT
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
CAT
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAT
6 - 1
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
COM
3 - 2
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
COM
12%
21%
67%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
VAR
83%
13%
4%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 5
COM
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |