Catania vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
+2
6.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
VIC
3 - 0
CAT
74%
19%
7%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
RIM
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
PES
0 - 0
CAT
56%
28%
16%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 1
ATL
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
COM
2 - 0
TAR
67%
23%
10%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
COM
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
COM
2 - 1
TER
61%
25%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ASC
1 - 1
COM
43%
31%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
TER
1 - 1
COM
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |