Catania vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
REG
4 - 1
CAT
55%
27%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAT
41%
32%
26%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
CAT
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
27%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
REG
62%
26%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAT
54%
29%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
COM
3 - 1
TAR
59%
26%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 0
COM
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
COM
0 - 0
NOV
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
BRI
0 - 0
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
COM
1 - 0
VAR
45%
30%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |