Catania vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAT
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 2
INT
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
ROM
4 - 2
CAT
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CAG
3 - 0
CAT
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAL
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 0
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LEC
3 - 2
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |