Catania vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CAT
1 - 2
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
1 - 4
CAT
28%
30%
43%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CAT
2 - 1
GIU
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 0
PES
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SOR
2 - 0
CAS
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 0
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
VIS
0 - 0
CAS
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |