Catania vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAT
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
3 - 2
GUA
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
FIA
2 - 0
CAT
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAS
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 0
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAS
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |