Catania vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 0
GEN
43%
29%
29%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUV
16%
24%
60%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
RIM
2 - 0
CAT
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
CAT
4 - 1
CAV
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
PAD
1 - 1
PES
83%
11%
6%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
PAD
0 - 1
ACM
41%
23%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAD
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
BRE
4 - 0
PAD
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +9 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
COM
3 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |