Catania vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
CAT
1 - 2
PAL
59%
26%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
USF
1 - 0
CAT
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
CAT
0 - 0
VNZ
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
59%
24%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
PAD
1 - 2
LIV
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 0
PAD
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
POT
4 - 2
PAD
43%
30%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
USF
0 - 1
PAD
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |