Catania vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
CAT
3 - 0
REG
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAT
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 3
CAT
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
CAT
2 - 0
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
ARZ
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SAV
1 - 1
PAD
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
PAD
1 - 1
ARZ
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 1
PAD
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 2
SAM
35%
29%
35%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |