Catania vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CAT
2 - 0
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAT
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SAM
4 - 1
CAT
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 0
SAM
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1962 |
PAD
4 - 0
UDI
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
INT
2 - 1
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
BOL
4 - 1
PAD
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |