Catania vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
21.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
29.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
26.2%
11%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 1
CAT
53%
29%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 2
CAT
47%
32%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
CAT
2 - 0
PRG
50%
30%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAT
42%
33%
25%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
41%
32%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 1
NOV
36%
32%
32%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
ASS
0 - 0
LEC
61%
26%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 2
USF
31%
33%
35%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
69%
21%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
LEC
1 - 2
BRI
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |