Catania vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAT
80%
12%
7%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 2
MES
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
BRE
4 - 2
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 0
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAT
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
FIO
4 - 0
LEC
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
BOL
4 - 2
LEC
78%
13%
8%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
LEC
3 - 0
VNZ
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |