Catania vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
VIG
0 - 1
CAT
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAT
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 2
VER
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASS
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAT
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
5 - 3
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
LEC
3 - 2
TAR
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
LEC
0 - 2
PAL
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 0
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |