Catania vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 2
BRE
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1958 |
LEC
5 - 2
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1958 |
ASS
3 - 0
LEC
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 0
LEC
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |