Catania vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 0
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 1
CAT
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
CAG
1 - 2
CAT
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
CAG
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
CAG
1 - 2
CAT
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAG
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
CAG
3 - 0
VIC
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |